{"auc_composite":0.7459,"composite_strategy":"logistic_stack","generated_at":"2026-08-20T05:45:14.606841+00:00","honest_caveats":["Fusion v2 method = logistic_stack, chosen by MEAN held-out AUC (0.7459) across 3 rolling-origin forward-temporal CV folds. v1 picked its strategy in-sample on the same labels it evaluated — v2 does not.","Evaluation is ROLLING-ORIGIN forward-temporal CV: each fold is fit on earlier label dates and scored on a strictly later, held-out date block. A shuffled random split would leak time-autocorrelation and inflate AUC; that mistake is deliberately avoided.","Per-fold held-out AUC ranges 0.714..0.766; the worst fold (sparse-positive late-May window) is the honest lower bound. The headline number is the mean.","The published auc_composite is the mean held-out CV number. The live per-country composite re-fits the winning method on all labels (standard once a method is selected), but the public metric stays the honest held-out figure.","Components have different time resolutions (DBSCAN/STL/burst = day, HDBSCAN = week). Each 'today' score is treated as a same-day snapshot.","'Anomalous' != 'censored'. A high composite means the day looks unusual on multiple axes; ground-truthing is still required.","Burst and HDBSCAN-drift are near-static 'current snapshot' signals applied at past label dates for evaluation, so their historical AUC is weak — DBSCAN and STL carry most of the discriminative load.","Composite renormalises weights over present detectors; a country with only 2/4 detectors still gets a composite."],"leaderboard":[{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.997508,"country":"BA","country_name":"Bosnia and Herzegovina","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.997508,"country":"CM","country_name":"Cameroon","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.997508,"country":"SN","country_name":"SN","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":true,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":true,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":true,"stl":true},"composite":0.996635,"country":"RU","country_name":"Russia","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":4,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":4},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":true,"stl":false},"composite":0.989342,"country":"AZ","country_name":"Azerbaijan","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":2,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":2},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":true,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.988273,"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":2,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":2},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":true,"stl":true},"composite":0.987849,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","n_all4_present":2,"n_all4_strong":2,"n_detectors_present":2,"n_detectors_strong":2},{"agreed_3_of_4":true,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":true,"stl":true},"composite":0.984819,"country":"MY","country_name":"Malaysia","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":3,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":3},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":true,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.983458,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":2,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":2},{"agreed_3_of_4":true,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":true,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":true,"stl":false},"composite":0.979619,"country":"VE","country_name":"Venezuela","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":3,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":3},{"agreed_3_of_4":true,"agreed_majority":true,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":true,"dbscan":true,"hdbscan":false,"stl":true},"composite":0.975187,"country":"BD","country_name":"Bangladesh","n_all4_present":4,"n_all4_strong":3,"n_detectors_present":4,"n_detectors_strong":3},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"AF","country_name":"AF","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"BF","country_name":"BF","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"BI","country_name":"BI","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"CD","country_name":"DR Congo","n_all4_present":2,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":2,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"CY","country_name":"Cyprus","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"EC","country_name":"EC","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"HU","country_name":"Hungary","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":true},"composite":0.971388,"country":"LY","country_name":"LY","n_all4_present":3,"n_all4_strong":1,"n_detectors_present":3,"n_detectors_strong":1},{"agreed_3_of_4":false,"agreed_majority":false,"all4_strong_flags":{"burst":false,"dbscan":false,"hdbscan":false,"stl":false},"composite":0.971388,"country":"MW","country_name":"MW","n_all4_present":1,"n_all4_strong":0,"n_detectors_present":1,"n_detectors_strong":0}],"limit":20,"n_3of4_agree":8,"n_majority_agree":21,"n_total":89,"only_3of4":false,"schema":"voidly-fused-anomaly/v1","weights":{"burst":null,"dbscan":null,"hdbscan":null,"stl":null},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}