{"burst":{"burst_id":"burst-2026-04-21-24cc","date":"2026-04-21","hypothesized_factor":"shared_domain:twitter.com","k_countries":24,"member_anomaly_scores":{"AR":3.571313,"BD":1.546112,"CA":4.937257,"CN":1.743842,"CO":3.451909,"DE":2.108878,"ES":1.090936,"FR":3.447335,"GB":5.323417,"GE":3.079035,"GH":5.61499,"IN":1.808303,"IT":3.33831,"JO":1.530401,"KZ":2.078224,"LT":1.608813,"MM":1.678466,"NG":4.299508,"QA":1.393658,"SG":1.569952,"TR":1.564252,"VE":3.83951,"YE":4.684627,"ZA":3.811401},"member_base_rates":{"AR":0.4118,"BD":0.2532,"CA":0.3902,"CN":0.175,"CO":0.2162,"DE":0.125,"ES":0.1,"FR":0.3095,"GB":0.2889,"GE":0.2368,"GH":0.5,"IN":0.2593,"IT":0.1905,"JO":0.2267,"KZ":0.1154,"LT":0.3333,"MM":0.1646,"NG":0.2667,"QA":0.4706,"SG":0.2027,"TR":0.2439,"VE":0.2073,"YE":0.16,"ZA":0.1538},"member_countries":["AR","BD","CA","CN","CO","DE","ES","FR","GB","GE","GH","IN","IT","JO","KZ","LT","MM","NG","QA","SG","TR","VE","YE","ZA"],"p_adj":0,"p_value":0,"shared_signals":{"blocking_method_distribution":{},"domain_distribution":{"instagram.com":4,"signal.org":4,"telegram.org":4,"twitter.com":5,"whatsapp.com":4},"modal_blocking_method":null,"modal_domain":"twitter.com","modal_signal_type":"outage","signal_type_distribution":{"blocking":30,"http-blocking-tcp-reset":30,"http-blocking-timeout":12,"outage":40,"tor-blocking":7},"source_distribution":{"censoredplanet":42,"ioda":40,"ooni":48}},"significant_at_005":true},"country_names":{"AR":"AR","BD":"Bangladesh","CA":"CA","CN":"China","CO":"Colombia","DE":"DE","ES":"ES","FR":"FR","GB":"GB","GE":"GE","GH":"GH","IN":"India","IT":"Italy","JO":"JO","KZ":"Kazakhstan","LT":"LT","MM":"Myanmar","NG":"Nigeria","QA":"QA","SG":"SG","TR":"Turkey","VE":"Venezuela","YE":"YE","ZA":"ZA"},"generated_at":"2026-05-22T05:31:09.190929Z","honest_caveats":["Co-occurrence is NOT causation and NOT proof of coordination.","The brief asked for 6-hour bucketing, but upstream evidence observed_at is day-granularity, so buckets collapse to single days.","Per-country flip rates are assumed INDEPENDENT, which is wrong in practice (neighbors correlate). Bonferroni p_adj is a conservative bound, not a causal-test result.","Underlying DBSCAN AUC is 0.6506 — noisy. Treat bursts as exploration hooks, not alerts.","Days with < {MIN_MEAS_PER_DAY} measurements are skipped, biasing toward high-coverage countries."],"model_meta":{"dbscan_min_samples":3,"dbscan_window_days":45,"eps_quantile":0.75,"min_meas_per_day":5,"p_value_model":"Under independence per-country flip rates (90d empirical), p_event = product of member rates; p_any = 1 - (1 - p_event)^N_days; p_adj = min(1, p_any * N_days) (Bonferroni).","promote_floor":">= 3 bursts in 90d AND >= 1 burst with p_adj < 0.05; otherwise shipped as exploratory only."},"schema":"voidly-anomaly-bursts/v1","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}