{"changed_this_snapshot":true,"country_code":"IQ","current_cohort":"C1_democracy","history":[{"cohort":"C3_authoritarian","raw_label":"C3_authoritarian","snapshot_at":"2026-04-21T21:31:07.979641+00:00"},{"cohort":"C1_democracy","raw_label":"C1_democracy_a","snapshot_at":"2026-05-21T21:31:07.980628+00:00"},{"cohort":"C1_democracy","raw_label":"C1_democracy_b","snapshot_at":"2026-06-01T06:00:02.504132+00:00"},{"cohort":"C4_other","raw_label":"C4_other_a","snapshot_at":"2026-07-01T06:00:03.035044+00:00"},{"cohort":"C4_other","raw_label":"C4_other","snapshot_at":"2026-08-01T06:00:02.752595+00:00"},{"cohort":"C1_democracy","raw_label":"C1_democracy","snapshot_at":"2026-09-01T06:00:03.849879+00:00"}],"honest_caveats":["DTW silhouette on the 90d window is typically 0.30-0.50 \u2014 modest, not strong. Cohorts overlap.","A cohort shift can be data-driven (volume of evidence collected) rather than regime-driven. Treat as a SIGNAL TO INVESTIGATE, not a verdict.","Monthly cadence may miss faster transitions (e.g., a multi-week shutdown that resolves before the next snapshot).","Labels {democracy, bursty, authoritarian} are derived from anchor-set overlap + centroid burstiness; they encode our prior, not ground truth.","First snapshot has no previous \u2014 migrations list is empty on initial run."],"in_top_50":true,"migration":{"confidence":0.5603,"country":"IQ","direction":"improving","new_cohort":"C1_democracy","old_cohort":"C4_other","severity_delta":-1},"n_snapshots":6,"previous_cohort":"C4_other","schema":"voidly-cohort-migration-country/v1"}