Voidly Atlas Digest

Generated 2026-10-04T04:30:02.681438+00:00 · JSON

SNAPSHOT, not real-time. This is the once-a-day round-up. The live channel is /v1/incidents/stream (SSE).

1. New incidents (last 24h)

0 citable censorship · 0 suspected (not citable) · 22 total rows (incl. IODA disruption signals).

2. Forecast movers (>10pp in 24h)

CountryTodayPriorΔ
Turkey68.59%3.60%+64.99%
Venezuela29.53%5.20%+24.33%
Cuba48.59%37.93%+10.66%
Kazakhstan13.84%38.68%-24.84%
Saudi Arabia65.30%78.27%-12.97%

3. DBSCAN anomalies (today)

CountryScoreBlock rateN obs
SG7.25100.0%66
VE7.160.0%11
BD6.98100.0%5
US6.41100.0%163
RU6.3782.0%39
DE6.34100.0%131
GB6.26100.0%57
KW6.250.0%5
KR6.22100.0%80
IN5.88100.0%54

4. Multi-country blocked domains

37 domains blocked in ≥3 countries.

DomainCategory# CountriesImportance
tiktok.comGRP38216.4
twitter.comGRP36200.0
whatsapp.comCOMT36197.2
chatgpt.comSRCH37169.4
gemini.google.comSRCH37167.8
signal.orgCOMT30166.6
telegram.orgCOMT28155.3
psiphon.caANON28155.2
claude.aiSRCH35153.7
youtube.comMMED28152.7

5. Lead/lag triggers

12 countries currently above 0.5 risk · tracked by contagion-chain v1.

6. Active-learning queue (top 3)

CandidateCountryP(block)Impact
ZA-2026-10-02#dbscan_flip-10061ZA50.1%0.476
PK-2026-09-30#dbscan_flip-9958PK50.0%0.433
TR-2026-09-27#dbscan_flip-9786TR50.0%0.2728

7. Cross-source agreement

Agreement rate (≥2 sources): 24.9% · Confirmed corroboration: 52.5%

8. Model health

1 models with drift >15pp flagged.


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