{"country":"BY","country_name":"Belarus","generated_at":"2026-08-13T08:24:38.364243","headline_one_line":"Belarus is currently in the LOW band with a 7-day peak forecast of 5%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Belarus censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: LOW** — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].\n\nTop model drivers: `month` (↓ 0.048), `incident_count_7d` (↓ 0.038), `block_rate_lag1` (↑ 0.027).\n\n**Risk trending UP**: forecast moved +7 percentage points over the last week.\n\nNo new incidents in the last 24 hours; 6 over the past 7 days.\n\nMost recent: [BY-2026-1492](https://voidly.ai/incident/BY-2026-1492) — Censorship detected in BY (severity critical, observed 2026-08-12T00:00:00Z).\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/by](/atlas/forecast/by) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/by](/sentinel/backtest/by) for the prediction history, and [/by](/by) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.024,"interval_90":[0,0.39699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-08-12T00:00:00Z","id":"BY-2026-1492","severity":"critical","title":"Censorship detected in BY"},"max_risk":0.047,"max_risk_day":7,"recent_incidents_24h":0,"recent_incidents_7d":6,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0478,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0381,"direction":"down","name":"incident_count_7d","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0274,"direction":"up","name":"block_rate_lag1","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":0.0711},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}