{"country":"BY","country_name":"Belarus","generated_at":"2026-06-15T07:39:20.293199","headline_one_line":"Belarus is currently in the LOW band with a 7-day peak forecast of 6%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Belarus censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: LOW** — 6% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [0%, 41%].\n\nTop model drivers: `week_of_year` (↓ 0.050), `gdelt_conflict_tone_7d` (↑ 0.037), `recent_shutdown` (↑ 0.031).\n\n**Risk trending UP**: forecast moved +75 percentage points over the last week.\n\n**1 incidents** detected in the last 24 hours (2 in the last 7 days).\n\nMost recent: [BY-2026-0308](Internet censorship detected in Belarus) — severity critical, observed 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z.\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/by](/atlas/forecast/by) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/by](/sentinel/backtest/by) for the prediction history, and [/by](/by) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.026,"interval_90":[0,0.409],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","id":"BY-2026-0308","severity":"critical","title":"Internet censorship detected in Belarus"},"max_risk":0.059,"max_risk_day":7,"recent_incidents_24h":1,"recent_incidents_7d":2,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0495,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0371,"direction":"up","name":"gdelt_conflict_tone_7d","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0307,"direction":"up","name":"recent_shutdown","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":0.751},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}