{"country":"ET","country_name":"Ethiopia","generated_at":"2026-08-19T19:30:05.000910","headline_one_line":"Ethiopia is currently in the LOW band with a 7-day peak forecast of 3%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Ethiopia censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: LOW** — 3% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [0%, 38%].\n\nTop model drivers: `month` (↓ 0.036), `week_of_year` (↓ 0.020), `block_rate_roll7_mean` (↓ 0.018).\n\n**1 incident** detected in the last 24 hours (7 in the last 7 days).\n\nMost recent: [ET-2026-0727](https://voidly.ai/incident/ET-2026-0727) — Internet connectivity disruption in Ethiopia (severity critical, observed 2026-08-19T04:50:00Z).\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/et](/atlas/forecast/et) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/et](/sentinel/backtest/et) for the prediction history, and [/et](/et) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.017,"interval_90":[0,0.383],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-08-19T04:50:00Z","id":"ET-2026-0727","severity":"critical","title":"Internet connectivity disruption in Ethiopia"},"max_risk":0.033,"max_risk_day":5,"recent_incidents_24h":1,"recent_incidents_7d":7,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0358,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0203,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.018,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll7_mean","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":-0.0001},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}