{"country":"KZ","country_name":"Kazakhstan","generated_at":"2026-08-13T08:21:46.529077","headline_one_line":"Kazakhstan is currently in the WATCH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 16%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Kazakhstan censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: WATCH** — 16% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [0%, 51%].\n\nTop model drivers: `block_rate_lag1` (↓ 0.029), `month` (↓ 0.024), `week_of_year` (↓ 0.023).\n\nRisk trending down: forecast moved -29 percentage points over the last week.\n\n**1 incident** detected in the last 24 hours (3 in the last 7 days).\n\nMost recent: [KZ-2026-0425](https://voidly.ai/incident/KZ-2026-0425) — Internet connectivity disruption in Kazakhstan (severity critical, observed 2026-08-12T10:20:00Z).\n\nUpcoming event drivers: Kazakh National Congress in 16d; Kazakh National Congress in 15d; Kazakh National Congress in 14d; Kazakh National Congress in 4d; Kazakh National Congress in 11d.\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/kz](/atlas/forecast/kz) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/kz](/sentinel/backtest/kz) for the prediction history, and [/kz](/kz) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.104,"interval_90":[0,0.51],"key_drivers":["Kazakh National Congress in 16d","Kazakh National Congress in 15d","Kazakh National Congress in 14d","Kazakh National Congress in 4d","Kazakh National Congress in 11d"],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-08-12T10:20:00Z","id":"KZ-2026-0425","severity":"critical","title":"Internet connectivity disruption in Kazakhstan"},"max_risk":0.16,"max_risk_day":7,"recent_incidents_24h":1,"recent_incidents_7d":3,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0289,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_lag1","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0244,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0231,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":-0.2894},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}