{"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","generated_at":"2026-05-21T13:30:37.999859","headline_one_line":"Lebanon is currently in the LOW band with a 7-day peak forecast of 6%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Lebanon censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: LOW** — 6% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [0%, 41%].\n\nTop model drivers: `recent_shutdown` (↑ 0.051), `block_rate_roll14_mean` (↓ 0.051), `risk_tier` (↑ 0.043).\n\n**Risk trending UP**: forecast moved +66 percentage points over the last week.\n\nNo incidents detected in the last 7 days.\n\nMost recent: [LB-2026-0108](Internet connectivity disruption in Lebanon) — severity critical, observed 2026-05-03T20:50:00Z.\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/lb](/atlas/forecast/lb) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/lb](/sentinel/backtest/lb) for the prediction history, and [/lb](/lb) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.03,"interval_90":[0,0.41],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-05-03T20:50:00Z","id":"LB-2026-0108","severity":"critical","title":"Internet connectivity disruption in Lebanon"},"max_risk":0.06,"max_risk_day":6,"recent_incidents_24h":0,"recent_incidents_7d":0,"top_features":[{"contribution":0.051,"direction":"up","name":"recent_shutdown"},{"contribution":-0.0509,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll14_mean"},{"contribution":0.0426,"direction":"up","name":"risk_tier"}],"trend_7d_delta":0.66},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}