{"country":"MM","country_name":"Myanmar","generated_at":"2026-09-20T23:59:23.007852","headline_one_line":"Myanmar is currently in the WATCH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 26%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Myanmar censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: WATCH** \u2014 26% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [0%, 61%].\n\nTop model drivers: `week_of_year` (\u2193 0.077), `month` (\u2193 0.027), `critical_incident_7d` (\u2191 0.026).\n\nRisk trending down: forecast moved -96 percentage points over the last week.\n\nNo new incidents in the last 24 hours; 9 over the past 7 days.\n\nMost recent: [MM-2026-2100](https://voidly.ai/incident/MM-2026-2100) \u2014 Internet connectivity disruption in Myanmar (severity critical, observed 2026-09-19T00:05:00Z).\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/mm](/atlas/forecast/mm) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/mm](/sentinel/backtest/mm) for the prediction history, and [/mm](/mm) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.246,"interval_90":[0.0,0.606],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-09-19T00:05:00Z","id":"MM-2026-2100","severity":"critical","title":"Internet connectivity disruption in Myanmar"},"max_risk":0.256,"max_risk_day":3,"recent_incidents_24h":0,"recent_incidents_7d":9,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0767,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0273,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0265,"direction":"up","name":"critical_incident_7d","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":-0.956}}