{"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","generated_at":"2026-10-03T17:33:38.834592","headline_one_line":"Pakistan is currently in the HIGH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 95%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Pakistan censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: HIGH** \u2014 95% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [60%, 100%].\n\nTop model drivers: `week_of_year` (\u2193 0.097), `block_rate_roll30_mean` (\u2193 0.034), `month` (\u2193 0.032).\n\nNo new incidents in the last 24 hours; 7 over the past 7 days.\n\nMost recent: [PK-2026-1787](https://voidly.ai/incident/PK-2026-1787) \u2014 Censorship detected in PK (severity critical, observed 2026-10-02T00:00:00Z).\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/pk](/atlas/forecast/pk) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/pk](/sentinel/backtest/pk) for the prediction history, and [/pk](/pk) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.95,"interval_90":[0.6,1.0],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-10-02T00:00:00Z","id":"PK-2026-1787","severity":"critical","title":"Censorship detected in PK"},"max_risk":0.95,"max_risk_day":0,"recent_incidents_24h":0,"recent_incidents_7d":7,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0966,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0344,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll30_mean","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0317,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":0.044}}