{"country":"UZ","country_name":"Uzbekistan","generated_at":"2026-10-03T17:33:39.341050","headline_one_line":"Uzbekistan is currently in the HIGH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 64%","license":"CC-BY-4.0","markdown":"## Uzbekistan censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: HIGH** \u2014 64% max forecast over the next 7 days.\n\n90% conformal interval: [29%, 99%].\n\nTop model drivers: `block_rate_roll7_mean` (\u2193 0.046), `gdelt_unrest_30d` (\u2193 0.042), `week_of_year` (\u2193 0.036).\n\nNo new incidents in the last 24 hours; 4 over the past 7 days.\n\nMost recent: [UZ-2026-0358](https://voidly.ai/incident/UZ-2026-0358) \u2014 Internet censorship detected in Uzbekistan (severity warning, observed 2026-10-01T00:00:00Z).\n\n\n\nSee [/atlas/forecast/uz](/atlas/forecast/uz) for the full calibrated forecast, [/sentinel/backtest/uz](/sentinel/backtest/uz) for the prediction history, and [/uz](/uz) for the country profile.","note":"Human-readable explanation stitched from forecast + incidents + SHAP + outcomes data. Designed for AI agents and journalists who want a quotable paragraph instead of raw JSON.","schema":"voidly-atlas-explain/v1","sources":{"endpoints_called":["predict_risk","incidents_table","sentinel_forecasts"]},"structured":{"avg_risk":0.614,"interval_90":[0.29200000000000004,0.992],"key_drivers":[],"last_incident":{"first_seen":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"UZ-2026-0358","severity":"warning","title":"Internet censorship detected in Uzbekistan"},"max_risk":0.642,"max_risk_day":6,"recent_incidents_24h":0,"recent_incidents_7d":4,"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0463,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll7_mean","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0415,"direction":"down","name":"gdelt_unrest_30d","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0364,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"}],"trend_7d_delta":-0.039}}