{"count":30,"generated_at":"2026-05-21T13:43:30.601621","methodology":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (with curated risk-tier floor) + 20% 30-day avg forecast + 15% current 7-day max_risk + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x vs disruptions (0.3x). Confidence is a separate field. Grades: A 0-20, B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","note":"v2 fixes v1's change-vs-level bug. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) now score high based on their 12-month baseline + curated risk tier. v1 remains live at /v1/atlas/score for backward compatibility.","results":[{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":41.69,"forecast_30d_avg":13.39,"forecast_7d":9.88,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0.93,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":41.69,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":45.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1005,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.659,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":11,"incidents_12m_disruption":43,"incidents_12m_total":54,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0.30900000000000005,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":66.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":14.15,"forecast_7d":1.7,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"IR","country_name":"Iran","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":38.3,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":33.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1062,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.113,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":7,"incidents_12m_disruption":41,"incidents_12m_total":48,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0,0.46299999999999997],"key_drivers":["Iranian Presidential Election 2026 in 5d","Iranian Presidential Election 2026 in 6d","Iranian Presidential Election 2026 in 7d"],"risk_tier":4},"score":65.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":34.74,"forecast_30d_avg":14.62,"forecast_7d":10.2,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0.93,"country":"VE","country_name":"Venezuela","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":34.74,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":23.7,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1096,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.68,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":2,"incidents_12m_disruption":59,"incidents_12m_total":61,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":7,"interval_90":[0.33000000000000007,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":61.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":49.33,"forecast_30d_avg":9.57,"forecast_7d":0.95,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":49.33,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":93.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0718,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.063,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":30,"incidents_12m_disruption":13,"incidents_12m_total":43,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.413],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":59.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":7.85,"forecast_7d":1.01,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"CN","country_name":"China","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":30.82,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":16.2,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0589,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.067,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":4,"incidents_12m_disruption":14,"incidents_12m_total":18,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.417],"key_drivers":["Tiananmen Anniversary 2026 in 7d","Tiananmen Anniversary 2026 in 10d","Tiananmen Anniversary 2026 in 11d"],"risk_tier":4},"score":58.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":45.89,"forecast_30d_avg":9.16,"forecast_7d":0.82,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0.93,"country":"UZ","country_name":"Uzbekistan","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":45.89,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":68.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0687,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.055,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":22,"incidents_12m_disruption":7,"incidents_12m_total":29,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.40499999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":57.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":6.21,"forecast_7d":0.81,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"TM","country_name":"Turkmenistan","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":17.22,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":3.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0465,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.054,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":1,"incidents_12m_disruption":3,"incidents_12m_total":4,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.40399999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4},"score":57},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":5.91,"forecast_7d":0.79,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"ER","country_name":"Eritrea","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":0,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":0,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0444,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.053,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":0,"incidents_12m_disruption":0,"incidents_12m_total":0,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.40299999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4,"visibility_warning":"Zero observed incidents in 12 months despite high curated risk tier — likely probe-network blind spot (e.g. KP). Score driven by tier floor."},"score":56.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":5.66,"forecast_7d":0.66,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"KP","country_name":"North Korea","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":0,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":0,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0425,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.044,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":0,"incidents_12m_disruption":0,"incidents_12m_total":0,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.39399999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4,"visibility_warning":"Zero observed incidents in 12 months despite high curated risk tier — likely probe-network blind spot (e.g. KP). Score driven by tier floor."},"score":56.3},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":33.34,"forecast_30d_avg":10.25,"forecast_7d":11.97,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"NG","country_name":"Nigeria","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":33.34,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":20.7,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0769,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.798,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":2,"incidents_12m_disruption":49,"incidents_12m_total":51,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0.44800000000000006,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":55.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":30.44,"forecast_30d_avg":9.68,"forecast_7d":11.87,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"NI","country_name":"Nicaragua","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":30.44,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":15.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0726,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.791,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":4,"incidents_12m_disruption":12,"incidents_12m_total":16,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0.44100000000000006,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":52},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":32.72,"forecast_30d_avg":6.67,"forecast_7d":11.84,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"IN","country_name":"India","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":32.72,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":19.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.05,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.789,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":2,"incidents_12m_disruption":45,"incidents_12m_total":47,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0.43900000000000006,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":51.2},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":49.12,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d":0.64,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"AZ","country_name":"Azerbaijan","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":49.12,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":92.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.043,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":29,"incidents_12m_disruption":17,"incidents_12m_total":46,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.39299999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":49.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":8.68,"forecast_7d":0.75,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":31.01,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":16.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0651,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.05,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":5,"incidents_12m_disruption":5,"incidents_12m_total":10,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.39999999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":49.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":8.84,"forecast_7d":0.58,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"VN","country_name":"Vietnam","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":32.4,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":18.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0663,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.039,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":5,"incidents_12m_disruption":13,"incidents_12m_total":18,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.38899999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":49.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":7.02,"forecast_7d":0.9,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":33.78,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":21.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0526,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.06,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":5,"incidents_12m_disruption":22,"incidents_12m_total":27,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.41],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":47.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":6.51,"forecast_7d":0.7,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"RU","country_name":"Russia","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":38.76,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":34.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0488,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.047,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":8,"incidents_12m_disruption":36,"incidents_12m_total":44,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.39699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":47.2},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":6.02,"forecast_7d":0.93,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"BY","country_name":"Belarus","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":32.4,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":18.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0451,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.062,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":6,"incidents_12m_disruption":3,"incidents_12m_total":9,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.412],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":46.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":5.57,"forecast_7d":0.89,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"CU","country_name":"Cuba","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":29.19,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":13.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0418,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.059,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":4,"incidents_12m_disruption":6,"incidents_12m_total":10,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.409],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":46.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":28,"forecast_30d_avg":17.47,"forecast_7d":0.9,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":24.28,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":8.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.131,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.06,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":1,"incidents_12m_disruption":18,"incidents_12m_total":19,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.41],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":46.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":35.63,"forecast_30d_avg":9.31,"forecast_7d":0.49,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"MM","country_name":"Myanmar","grade":"C","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":35.63,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":25.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0698,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.033,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":6,"incidents_12m_disruption":26,"incidents_12m_total":32,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.383],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":45.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":43.71,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d":1.12,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"TZ","country_name":"Tanzania","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":43.71,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":55.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.075,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":17,"incidents_12m_disruption":15,"incidents_12m_total":32,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.425],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":44.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":34.34,"forecast_30d_avg":9.17,"forecast_7d":0.78,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"BD","country_name":"Bangladesh","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":34.34,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":22.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0688,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.052,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":4,"incidents_12m_disruption":36,"incidents_12m_total":40,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.40199999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":44.3},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40.82,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d":0.75,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0,"country":"JO","country_name":"JO","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":40.82,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":42.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.05,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":14,"incidents_12m_disruption":1,"incidents_12m_total":15,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.39999999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":43.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":40,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d":0.82,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0,"country":"SS","country_name":"South Sudan","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":17.22,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":3.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.055,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":0,"incidents_12m_disruption":13,"incidents_12m_total":13,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.40499999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":42.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":32.24,"forecast_30d_avg":9.31,"forecast_7d":0.89,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"KZ","country_name":"Kazakhstan","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":32.24,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":18.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0698,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.059,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":5,"incidents_12m_disruption":12,"incidents_12m_total":17,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.409],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":42.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":30.63,"forecast_30d_avg":9.4,"forecast_7d":0.87,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"TH","country_name":"Thailand","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":30.63,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":15.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0705,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.058,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":5,"incidents_12m_disruption":3,"incidents_12m_total":8,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.408],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":40.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":28.04,"forecast_30d_avg":9.56,"forecast_7d":1.53,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"TR","country_name":"Turkey","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":28.04,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":12.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0717,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.102,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":2,"incidents_12m_disruption":21,"incidents_12m_total":23,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.45199999999999996],"key_drivers":["Turkish Local Elections 2026 in 9d","Turkish Local Elections 2026 in 10d","Turkish Local Elections 2026 in 5d"],"risk_tier":2},"score":39.1},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":27.01,"forecast_30d_avg":10.36,"forecast_7d":1.44,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0.93,"country":"ET","country_name":"Ethiopia","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":27.01,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":11.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.0777,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.096,"historical_outcomes":28,"incidents_12m_censorship":1,"incidents_12m_disruption":27,"incidents_12m_total":28,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.44599999999999995],"key_drivers":["Ethiopian House of People&#x27;s Represe in 10d","Ethiopian House of People&#x27;s Represe in 8d","Ethiopian House of People&#x27;s Represe in 5d"],"risk_tier":0},"score":38.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":35.87,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d":0.58,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0,"country":"IQ","country_name":"IQ","grade":"B","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":35.87,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":26.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.039,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":6,"incidents_12m_disruption":28,"incidents_12m_total":34,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.38899999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":38.4}],"schema":"voidly-atlas-score-leaderboard/v2","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}