{"count":30,"generated_at":"2026-07-05T15:56:01.816478","methodology":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (with curated risk-tier floor) + 20% 30-day avg forecast + 15% current 7-day max_risk + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x vs disruptions (0.3x). Confidence is a separate field. Grades: A 0-20, B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","note":"v2 fixes v1's change-vs-level bug. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) now score high based on their 12-month baseline + curated risk tier. v1 remains live at /v1/atlas/score for backward compatibility.","results":[{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":14.25,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":59.86,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":249.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.7241,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.95,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":82,"incidents_12m_disruption":13,"incidents_12m_total":95,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0.6,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":84.2},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":9.69,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"UZ","country_name":"Uzbekistan","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":56.62,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":185.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6993,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.646,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":61,"incidents_12m_disruption":7,"incidents_12m_total":68,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":4,"interval_90":[0.29600000000000004,0.996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":79.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":6.54,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":57.81,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":206.7,"forecast_30d_avg":0.5446,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.436,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":66,"incidents_12m_disruption":29,"incidents_12m_total":95,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0.08600000000000002,0.786],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":76.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.67,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"IR","country_name":"Iran","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":53.1,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":133.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2415,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.045,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":40,"incidents_12m_disruption":45,"incidents_12m_total":85,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0,0.39499999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4},"score":72.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.69,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"VE","country_name":"Venezuela","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":53.37,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":136.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3701,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.046,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":38,"incidents_12m_disruption":76,"incidents_12m_total":114,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":8,"interval_90":[0,0.39599999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":72.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.57,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"IN","country_name":"India","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":52.56,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":126.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3592,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.038,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":37,"incidents_12m_disruption":53,"incidents_12m_total":90,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":7,"interval_90":[0,0.38799999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":72.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.55,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"RU","country_name":"Russia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":57.05,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":192.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.331,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.037,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":62,"incidents_12m_disruption":22,"incidents_12m_total":84,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.38699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":72.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.9,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"KH","country_name":"KH","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":50.74,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":107.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.7549,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.06,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":35,"incidents_12m_disruption":7,"incidents_12m_total":42,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.41],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.82,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"BY","country_name":"Belarus","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":52.3,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":123.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3464,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.055,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":41,"incidents_12m_disruption":3,"incidents_12m_total":44,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.40499999999999997],"key_drivers":["Belarus Protests Anniversary 2026 in 29d","Belarus Protests Anniversary 2026 in 30d","Belarus Protests Anniversary 2026 in 28d"],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.75,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":52.09,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":121.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3246,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.05,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":40,"incidents_12m_disruption":5,"incidents_12m_total":45,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.39999999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.66,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"AZ","country_name":"Azerbaijan","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":58.38,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":217.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.8205,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.044,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":71,"incidents_12m_disruption":16,"incidents_12m_total":87,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.39399999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.69,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"BD","country_name":"Bangladesh","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":54.29,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":149.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1687,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.046,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":47,"incidents_12m_disruption":27,"incidents_12m_total":74,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.39599999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":48.76,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":1.95,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"CU","country_name":"Cuba","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":48.76,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":89.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.391,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.13,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":29,"incidents_12m_disruption":7,"incidents_12m_total":36,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.48],"key_drivers":["July 11 Protests Anniversary 2026","July 11 Protests Anniversary 2026 in 5d","July 11 Protests Anniversary 2026 in 2d"],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.69,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"ID","country_name":"Indonesia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":50.91,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":108.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1771,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.046,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":34,"incidents_12m_disruption":23,"incidents_12m_total":57,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39599999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.7,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"JO","country_name":"JO","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.18,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":111.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.4561,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.047,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":37,"incidents_12m_disruption":2,"incidents_12m_total":39,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.7,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"MM","country_name":"Myanmar","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.77,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":117.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2862,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.047,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":37,"incidents_12m_disruption":23,"incidents_12m_total":60,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.39699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.67,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"QA","country_name":"QA","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.74,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":117.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2369,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.045,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":39,"incidents_12m_disruption":2,"incidents_12m_total":41,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39499999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.64,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"AE","country_name":"AE","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":52.51,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":126.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.294,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.043,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":42,"incidents_12m_disruption":1,"incidents_12m_total":43,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.39299999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.63,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"KZ","country_name":"Kazakhstan","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":54.38,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":150.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3764,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.042,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":49,"incidents_12m_disruption":11,"incidents_12m_total":60,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39199999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":70.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":49.99,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.58,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"MA","country_name":"Morocco","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":49.99,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":99.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.4355,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.039,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":33,"incidents_12m_disruption":3,"incidents_12m_total":36,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.38899999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.6,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"VN","country_name":"Vietnam","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.98,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":120.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1731,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.04,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":39,"incidents_12m_disruption":11,"incidents_12m_total":50,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.38999999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.51,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"SG","country_name":"SG","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.74,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":117.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.4233,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.034,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":39,"incidents_12m_disruption":2,"incidents_12m_total":41,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.384],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.36,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"CN","country_name":"China","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":31.55,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":17.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1943,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.024,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":4,"incidents_12m_disruption":18,"incidents_12m_total":22,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.374],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4},"score":70.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":19.74,"forecast_7d":0.7,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"ER","country_name":"Eritrea","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":0,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":0,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1481,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.047,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":0,"incidents_12m_disruption":0,"incidents_12m_total":0,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.39699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4,"visibility_warning":"Zero observed incidents in 12 months despite high curated risk tier — likely probe-network blind spot (e.g. KP). Score driven by tier floor."},"score":70.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":49.73,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.66,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"IQ","country_name":"IQ","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":49.73,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":97.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.469,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.044,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":29,"incidents_12m_disruption":35,"incidents_12m_total":64,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.39399999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":49.83,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.54,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"MY","country_name":"Malaysia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":49.83,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":98.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1509,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.036,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":32,"incidents_12m_disruption":8,"incidents_12m_total":40,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.38599999999999995],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":70.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":19.5,"forecast_7d":0.42,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"KP","country_name":"North Korea","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":0,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":0,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1462,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.028,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":0,"incidents_12m_disruption":0,"incidents_12m_total":0,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":0,"interval_90":[0,0.378],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4,"visibility_warning":"Zero observed incidents in 12 months despite high curated risk tier — likely probe-network blind spot (e.g. KP). Score driven by tier floor."},"score":69.9},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":18.57,"forecast_7d":0.69,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"TH","country_name":"Thailand","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.71,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":117.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.1393,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.046,"historical_outcomes":73,"incidents_12m_censorship":39,"incidents_12m_disruption":1,"incidents_12m_total":40,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39599999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":69.3},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":47.9,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.78,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":47.9,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":82.2,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3965,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.052,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":27,"incidents_12m_disruption":4,"incidents_12m_total":31,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.40199999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":68.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":47.94,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.61,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"KW","country_name":"KW","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":47.94,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":82.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6124,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.041,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":27,"incidents_12m_disruption":5,"incidents_12m_total":32,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.39099999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":68.5}],"schema":"voidly-atlas-score-leaderboard/v2","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}