{"count":30,"generated_at":"2026-08-19T19:30:44.748227","methodology":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (with curated risk-tier floor) + 20% 30-day avg forecast + 15% current 7-day max_risk + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x vs disruptions (0.3x). Confidence is a separate field. Grades: A 0-20, B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","note":"v2 fixes v1's change-vs-level bug. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) now score high based on their 12-month baseline + curated risk tier. v1 remains live at /v1/atlas/score for backward compatibility.","results":[{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":14.25,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":67.16,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":491.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.656,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.95,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":162,"incidents_12m_disruption":18,"incidents_12m_total":180,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":11,"interval_90":[0.6,1],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":86.2},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":9.55,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"UZ","country_name":"Uzbekistan","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":60.9,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":275.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6059,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.637,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":91,"incidents_12m_disruption":7,"incidents_12m_total":98,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0.28700000000000003,0.987],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":79.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":6.48,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":66.4,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":457.8,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6091,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.432,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":149,"incidents_12m_disruption":36,"incidents_12m_total":185,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":7,"interval_90":[0.08200000000000002,0.782],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":78.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":4.71,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"IN","country_name":"India","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":57.02,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":192,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3621,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.314,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":57,"incidents_12m_disruption":70,"incidents_12m_total":127,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":4,"interval_90":[0,0.6639999999999999],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":76.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":4.68,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"TR","country_name":"Turkey","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":55.48,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":166.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2472,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.312,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":53,"incidents_12m_disruption":25,"incidents_12m_total":78,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.6619999999999999],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":76.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":4.08,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"VE","country_name":"Venezuela","grade":"F","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":64.08,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":369.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6294,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.272,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":112,"incidents_12m_disruption":111,"incidents_12m_total":223,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":13,"interval_90":[0,0.622],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":76},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":4.29,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"MM","country_name":"Myanmar","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":64.65,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":389.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6876,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.286,"historical_outcomes":117,"incidents_12m_censorship":126,"incidents_12m_disruption":38,"incidents_12m_total":164,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":9,"interval_90":[0,0.6359999999999999],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":74.3},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":3.03,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"KZ","country_name":"Kazakhstan","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":57.78,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":206.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.636,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.202,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":67,"incidents_12m_disruption":17,"incidents_12m_total":84,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":4,"interval_90":[0,0.552],"key_drivers":["Kazakh National Congress in 1d","Kazakh National Congress in 7d","Kazakh National Congress in 5d"],"risk_tier":1},"score":73},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.82,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"RU","country_name":"Russia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":67.87,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":524.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.5948,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.055,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":170,"incidents_12m_disruption":48,"incidents_12m_total":218,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":12,"interval_90":[0,0.40499999999999997],"key_drivers":["Russian State Duma Election 2026 in 24d","Russian State Duma Election 2026 in 27d","Russian State Duma Election 2026 in 30d"],"risk_tier":3},"score":72.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.6,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0,"country":"IQ","country_name":"IQ","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":52.56,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":126.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.4403,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.04,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":37,"incidents_12m_disruption":53,"incidents_12m_total":90,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":4,"interval_90":[0,0.38999999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":72.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.61,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0,"country":"KH","country_name":"KH","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":55.79,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":171.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6961,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.041,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":56,"incidents_12m_disruption":11,"incidents_12m_total":67,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.39099999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":72.5},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.49,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"BD","country_name":"Bangladesh","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":59.07,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":232.2,"forecast_30d_avg":0.313,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.033,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":72,"incidents_12m_disruption":54,"incidents_12m_total":126,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0,0.383],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":72.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.45,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"MY","country_name":"Malaysia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":53.76,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":141.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3194,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.03,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":46,"incidents_12m_disruption":13,"incidents_12m_total":59,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.38],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":72.4},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.28,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":0,"country":"TZ","country_name":"Tanzania","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":54.38,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":150.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.3262,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.019,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":47,"incidents_12m_disruption":31,"incidents_12m_total":78,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.369],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":72.2},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":49.26,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.49,"incident_density_24h":1.94},"confidence":1,"country":"ET","country_name":"Ethiopia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":49.26,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":93.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.4128,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.033,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":26,"incidents_12m_disruption":51,"incidents_12m_total":77,"incidents_24h":1,"incidents_7d":7,"interval_90":[0,0.383],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":71.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.79,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"CU","country_name":"Cuba","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":56.16,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":177.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6041,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.053,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":58,"incidents_12m_disruption":11,"incidents_12m_total":69,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":5,"interval_90":[0,0.40299999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.79,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"IR","country_name":"Iran","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":65.75,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":431.1,"forecast_30d_avg":0.5224,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.053,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":137,"incidents_12m_disruption":67,"incidents_12m_total":204,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":12,"interval_90":[0,0.40299999999999997],"key_drivers":["Mahsa Amini Anniversary 2026 in 27d","Mahsa Amini Anniversary 2026 in 24d","Mahsa Amini Anniversary 2026 in 21d"],"risk_tier":4},"score":70.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.78,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"LY","country_name":"LY","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":50.62,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":105.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.5182,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.052,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":33,"incidents_12m_disruption":23,"incidents_12m_total":56,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.40199999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.85,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"MA","country_name":"Morocco","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":58.18,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":213.9,"forecast_30d_avg":1,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.057,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":71,"incidents_12m_disruption":3,"incidents_12m_total":74,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":3,"interval_90":[0,0.407],"key_drivers":["Moroccan Chamber of Representatives in 29d","Moroccan Chamber of Representatives in 30d","Moroccan Chamber of Representatives in 28d"],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.8},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.66,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"AZ","country_name":"Azerbaijan","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":66.85,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":477.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.8759,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.044,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":157,"incidents_12m_disruption":22,"incidents_12m_total":179,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":9,"interval_90":[0,0.39399999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.69,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":53.34,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":136.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.7546,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.046,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":45,"incidents_12m_disruption":5,"incidents_12m_total":50,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.39599999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.72,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"BY","country_name":"Belarus","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":63.04,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":335.4,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6442,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.048,"historical_outcomes":117,"incidents_12m_censorship":111,"incidents_12m_disruption":8,"incidents_12m_total":119,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.39799999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.7,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"CN","country_name":"China","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":47.38,"base_score_source":"tier-floor","base_tier_floor_pts":50,"base_weighted_score":78.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2781,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.047,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":23,"incidents_12m_disruption":31,"incidents_12m_total":54,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.39699999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.73,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"DZ","country_name":"Algeria","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":55.07,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":160.2,"forecast_30d_avg":0.5593,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.049,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":48,"incidents_12m_disruption":54,"incidents_12m_total":102,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.39899999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.66,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"JO","country_name":"JO","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":59.45,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":240.6,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6761,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.044,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":80,"incidents_12m_disruption":2,"incidents_12m_total":82,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":1,"interval_90":[0,0.39399999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.72,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":55.67,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":28,"base_weighted_score":169.5,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2474,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.048,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":53,"incidents_12m_disruption":35,"incidents_12m_total":88,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":6,"interval_90":[0,0.39799999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":2},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.69,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":53.94,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":40,"base_weighted_score":144.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6207,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.046,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":43,"incidents_12m_disruption":51,"incidents_12m_total":94,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":7,"interval_90":[0,0.39599999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":3},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.73,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"TN","country_name":"TN","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":51.71,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":117.3,"forecast_30d_avg":0.6436,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.049,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":38,"incidents_12m_disruption":11,"incidents_12m_total":49,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39899999999999997],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.7},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.63,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":1,"country":"ID","country_name":"Indonesia","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":56.37,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":14,"base_weighted_score":180.9,"forecast_30d_avg":0.2429,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.042,"historical_outcomes":118,"incidents_12m_censorship":57,"incidents_12m_disruption":33,"incidents_12m_total":90,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":2,"interval_90":[0,0.39199999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":1},"score":70.6},{"components":{"anomaly":0,"base_rate":50,"forecast_30d_avg":20,"forecast_7d":0.61,"incident_density_24h":0},"confidence":0,"country":"KW","country_name":"KW","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 — level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":56.85,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":0,"base_weighted_score":189,"forecast_30d_avg":0.643,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.041,"historical_outcomes":0,"incidents_12m_censorship":62,"incidents_12m_disruption":10,"incidents_12m_total":72,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":4,"interval_90":[0,0.39099999999999996],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":0},"score":70.6}],"schema":"voidly-atlas-score-leaderboard/v2","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}