{"components":{"anomaly":0.0,"base_rate":50.0,"forecast_30d_avg":20.0,"forecast_7d":4.02,"incident_density_24h":0.0},"confidence":1.0,"country":"IR","country_name":"Iran","generated_at":"2026-10-04T16:12:24.332985","grade":"D","interpretation":"Atlas Score v2 \u2014 level-aware composite. 50% structural baseline (censorship-weighted 12-month incidents, with curated risk-tier floor for probe-blind countries) + 20% 30-day average forecast probability + 15% current 7-day max_risk (active spike) + 10% 24h incident density + 5% anomaly disagreement. Censorship/mixed incidents weighted 3x heavier than disruptions (which are weighted 0.3x to discount network-outage noise). Confidence is a separate 0-1 field based on historical outcome count, NOT added to the score. Chronic-blocking countries (RU/CN/KP) score high based on baseline level even when nothing is changing this week. Grade A 0-20 (open), B- 20-30, B 30-45, C 45-60, D 60-75, F 75+.","raw_signals":{"anomaly_note":"no anomaly model output; component=0","base_observed_pts":69.07,"base_score_source":"observed","base_tier_floor_pts":50.0,"base_weighted_score":586.2,"forecast_30d_avg":0.5685,"forecast_7d_max_risk":0.268,"historical_outcomes":164,"incidents_12m_censorship":185,"incidents_12m_disruption":104,"incidents_12m_total":289,"incidents_24h":0,"incidents_7d":12,"interval_90":[0.0,0.618],"key_drivers":[],"risk_tier":4},"schema":"voidly-atlas-score/v2","score":74.0}