{"consistency":{"monotonic":true,"violations":[]},"country":"SO","country_name":"Somalia","covered":true,"generated_at":"2026-07-17T08:54:01.594838","honest_caveat":{"auc_caveat":"AUC (e.g. 1d ~0.91) OVERSTATES usefulness — per-horizon F1 is much lower (~0.45 at 1d) because shutdown-positive days are rare and the 7/30-day target is a sliding window that is highly autocorrelated day-to-day (a leakage-prone label).","conformal_caveat":"Conformal bands widen sharply at 30d (often ~[0.45, 1.0]) — the 30d point estimate is low-confidence.","correct_use":"Use for cross-country RISK RANKING within the watched panel, NOT precise within-country day-of-shutdown timing. Data-backed for covered countries only (see the 'covered' flag).","metrics_are":"Per-horizon AUC is leave-one-country-out on the SPOTLIGHT (watched) panel, NOT all 130 countries; see /v1/forecast/multi-horizon/info for the per-horizon F1."},"honest_horizons":["1d","30d","7d"],"horizons":{"1d":{"conformal_90":{"halfwidth":0.0968,"lower":0.0543,"upper":0.2478},"horizon":"1d","horizon_days":1,"probability":0.1511,"top_features":[{"feature":"week_of_year","shap_value":-0.16858629882335663},{"feature":"day_of_week","shap_value":0.13428357243537903},{"feature":"month","shap_value":-0.12148413062095642},{"feature":"incident_count_7d","shap_value":-0.1196797788143158},{"feature":"is_friday","shap_value":-0.08828442543745041}]},"30d":{"conformal_90":{"halfwidth":0.5,"lower":0.4521,"upper":1},"horizon":"30d","horizon_days":30,"probability":0.9521,"top_features":[{"feature":"critical_incident_7d","shap_value":0.6403709650039673},{"feature":"risk_tier","shap_value":0.356033056974411},{"feature":"week_of_year","shap_value":-0.22152526676654816},{"feature":"recent_shutdown","shap_value":-0.12124679237604141},{"feature":"gdelt_unrest_30d","shap_value":-0.04970000311732292}]},"7d":{"conformal_90":{"halfwidth":0.1875,"lower":0.4009,"upper":0.7759},"horizon":"7d","horizon_days":7,"probability":0.5884,"top_features":[{"feature":"recent_shutdown","shap_value":0.3523183763027191},{"feature":"week_of_year","shap_value":0.3130132853984833},{"feature":"risk_tier","shap_value":0.21297337114810944},{"feature":"incident_count_7d","shap_value":-0.08815336227416992},{"feature":"gdelt_unrest_30d","shap_value":-0.05535142496228218}]}},"model_version":"multi-horizon-h-v1","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}