{"asn":8895,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","has_direct_evidence":1,"honest_caveats":["Only 6 tier-1 ASNs have density >= 100 evidence rows AND >= 30 unique days. Leave-one-out CV across 6 folds is barely statistical — every miss is 16% accuracy.","Training set is the OTHER 52 labeled ASNs (most have < 30 unique days). Label is `had_shutdown_next_7d` from the same evidence table — there's leakage potential via the country-risk and topological neighbors.","Per-ASN forecasting is data-sparsity-bound, not model-architecture-bound. Even a perfect GNN is limited by how few ASNs we have ground truth for."],"horizon_days":7,"interpretation":"Per-ASN 7-day shutdown probability from a GraphSAGE GNN trained on the CAIDA AS-AS topology. ASNs with no direct evidence get a score derived ENTIRELY from their CAIDA neighbors' features — treat low-evidence predictions skeptically. LOOCV across 6 tier-1 ASNs is the headline metric, but n=6 is statistically thin; see /v1/forecast/asn-gnn/info for full disclosure.","model_meta":{"architecture":"GraphSAGE-2layer-h64","loocv_auc":0.8,"n_labeled_total":58,"n_tier1_loocv":6,"passed_promote_floor":false,"perm_pvalue":0.321,"promote_floor_auc":0.65,"version":"v1"},"raw_inputs":{"block_rate_180d":1,"block_rate_30d":1,"country_risk_tier":2,"log_degree":2.7081,"n_evidence_180d":545,"n_evidence_30d":184},"schema":"voidly-gnn-asn-forecast/v1","shutdown_probability":0.9858,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}