{"generated_at":"2026-08-20T23:45:39.798591","honest_caveats":["Aggregates per-country predict_risk() probabilities; does NOT use a dedicated per-region model.","Weighted by 30-day evidence volume per country, not population — large evidence-collecting countries dominate the average.","A single high-risk country can pull the region average up even when most countries are quiet — see per_country for the dispersion.","MENA is a custom grouping (Northern Africa + Western Asia minus IL/CY/AM/GE/AZ); other regions follow UN M.49.","Forecast model (predict_risk) only fully calibrated for the 30 watched censorship-heavy countries; unwatched countries use raw probabilities."],"max_country":"VE","max_country_name":"Venezuela","max_country_probability":0.275,"method":"evidence-volume-weighted","min_country":"UY","min_country_name":"Uruguay","min_country_probability":0.024,"model_version":"v1","n_countries":23,"n_elevated_25":2,"n_elevated_50":0,"n_failed":0,"per_country":[{"avg_risk":0.253,"country":"VE","country_name":"Venezuela","day0_risk":0.25,"evidence_weight":2643,"max_risk":0.275},{"avg_risk":0.18,"country":"HT","country_name":"Haiti","day0_risk":0.093,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.271},{"avg_risk":0.021,"country":"AR","country_name":"Argentina","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1021,"max_risk":0.052},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"PR","country_name":"Puerto Rico","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.051},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"CL","country_name":"Chile","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":739,"max_risk":0.049},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"CA","country_name":"Canada","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":7303,"max_risk":0.048},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"NI","country_name":"Nicaragua","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":11,"max_risk":0.048},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"BR","country_name":"Brazil","day0_risk":0.02,"evidence_weight":3241,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.022,"country":"JM","country_name":"Jamaica","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":2,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"MX","country_name":"Mexico","day0_risk":0.019,"evidence_weight":7057,"max_risk":0.046},{"avg_risk":0.021,"country":"PY","country_name":"Paraguay","day0_risk":0.02,"evidence_weight":10,"max_risk":0.044},{"avg_risk":0.018,"country":"GT","country_name":"Guatemala","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":4,"max_risk":0.043},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"CR","country_name":"Costa Rica","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.018,"country":"HN","country_name":"Honduras","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":235,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"BO","country_name":"Bolivia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":27,"max_risk":0.041},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"CU","country_name":"Cuba","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":266,"max_risk":0.041},{"avg_risk":0.017,"country":"PA","country_name":"Panama","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":12,"max_risk":0.041},{"avg_risk":0.022,"country":"DO","country_name":"Dominican Republic","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":6,"max_risk":0.04},{"avg_risk":0.017,"country":"PE","country_name":"Peru","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":76,"max_risk":0.037},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"US","country_name":"United States","day0_risk":0.014,"evidence_weight":17625,"max_risk":0.036},{"avg_risk":0.014,"country":"EC","country_name":"Ecuador","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":9,"max_risk":0.027},{"avg_risk":0.016,"country":"CO","country_name":"Colombia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1406,"max_risk":0.026},{"avg_risk":0.015,"country":"UY","country_name":"Uruguay","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.024}],"region":"americas","region_name":"Americas","schema":"voidly-region-forecast/v1","unweighted_mean_probability_7d":0.0617,"weighted_avg_probability_7d":0.0562,"weighted_mean_avg_risk":0.0387,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}