{"generated_at":"2026-07-06T22:28:44.410260","honest_caveats":["Aggregates per-country predict_risk() probabilities; does NOT use a dedicated per-region model.","Weighted by 30-day evidence volume per country, not population — large evidence-collecting countries dominate the average.","A single high-risk country can pull the region average up even when most countries are quiet — see per_country for the dispersion.","MENA is a custom grouping (Northern Africa + Western Asia minus IL/CY/AM/GE/AZ); other regions follow UN M.49.","Forecast model (predict_risk) only fully calibrated for the 30 watched censorship-heavy countries; unwatched countries use raw probabilities."],"max_country":"PK","max_country_name":"Pakistan","max_country_probability":0.95,"method":"evidence-volume-weighted","min_country":"YE","min_country_name":"Yemen","min_country_probability":0.031,"model_version":"v1","n_countries":49,"n_elevated_25":2,"n_elevated_50":2,"n_failed":0,"per_country":[{"avg_risk":0.95,"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","day0_risk":0.95,"evidence_weight":2088,"max_risk":0.95},{"avg_risk":0.849,"country":"UZ","country_name":"Uzbekistan","day0_risk":0.848,"evidence_weight":1044,"max_risk":0.87},{"avg_risk":0.1,"country":"QA","country_name":"Qatar","day0_risk":0.088,"evidence_weight":493,"max_risk":0.121},{"avg_risk":0.084,"country":"GE","country_name":"Georgia","day0_risk":0.064,"evidence_weight":156,"max_risk":0.114},{"avg_risk":0.083,"country":"JO","country_name":"Jordan","day0_risk":0.066,"evidence_weight":1230,"max_risk":0.113},{"avg_risk":0.075,"country":"KW","country_name":"Kuwait","day0_risk":0.066,"evidence_weight":164,"max_risk":0.098},{"avg_risk":0.058,"country":"KG","country_name":"Kyrgyzstan","day0_risk":0.041,"evidence_weight":2,"max_risk":0.086},{"avg_risk":0.063,"country":"CY","country_name":"Cyprus","day0_risk":0.038,"evidence_weight":3,"max_risk":0.085},{"avg_risk":0.057,"country":"KH","country_name":"Cambodia","day0_risk":0.037,"evidence_weight":974,"max_risk":0.085},{"avg_risk":0.058,"country":"MN","country_name":"Mongolia","day0_risk":0.022,"evidence_weight":2,"max_risk":0.084},{"avg_risk":0.052,"country":"SG","country_name":"Singapore","day0_risk":0.037,"evidence_weight":884,"max_risk":0.082},{"avg_risk":0.049,"country":"BN","country_name":"Brunei","day0_risk":0.035,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.081},{"avg_risk":0.048,"country":"PS","country_name":"Palestine","day0_risk":0.045,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.08},{"avg_risk":0.052,"country":"LK","country_name":"Sri Lanka","day0_risk":0.045,"evidence_weight":217,"max_risk":0.078},{"avg_risk":0.055,"country":"BT","country_name":"Bhutan","day0_risk":0.036,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.076},{"avg_risk":0.049,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","day0_risk":0.031,"evidence_weight":218,"max_risk":0.075},{"avg_risk":0.055,"country":"MV","country_name":"Maldives","day0_risk":0.03,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.074},{"avg_risk":0.052,"country":"LA","country_name":"Laos","day0_risk":0.049,"evidence_weight":6,"max_risk":0.073},{"avg_risk":0.06,"country":"AF","country_name":"Afghanistan","day0_risk":0.033,"evidence_weight":10,"max_risk":0.07},{"avg_risk":0.053,"country":"TJ","country_name":"Tajikistan","day0_risk":0.057,"evidence_weight":2,"max_risk":0.066},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"NP","country_name":"Nepal","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":66,"max_risk":0.061},{"avg_risk":0.034,"country":"AE","country_name":"United Arab Emirates","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1839,"max_risk":0.059},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"KR","country_name":"South Korea","day0_risk":0.016,"evidence_weight":1039,"max_risk":0.059},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"KZ","country_name":"Kazakhstan","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1504,"max_risk":0.059},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"MM","country_name":"Myanmar","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1752,"max_risk":0.058},{"avg_risk":0.032,"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","day0_risk":0.018,"evidence_weight":151,"max_risk":0.052},{"avg_risk":0.031,"country":"TW","country_name":"Taiwan","day0_risk":0.023,"evidence_weight":171,"max_risk":0.051},{"avg_risk":0.036,"country":"AZ","country_name":"Azerbaijan","day0_risk":0.023,"evidence_weight":957,"max_risk":0.05},{"avg_risk":0.03,"country":"AM","country_name":"Armenia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":144,"max_risk":0.049},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":862,"max_risk":0.049},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"TR","country_name":"Turkey","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":2843,"max_risk":0.048},{"avg_risk":0.03,"country":"HK","country_name":"Hong Kong","day0_risk":0.025,"evidence_weight":139,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"OM","country_name":"Oman","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":648,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.03,"country":"JP","country_name":"Japan","day0_risk":0.021,"evidence_weight":958,"max_risk":0.046},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"IN","country_name":"India","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":3701,"max_risk":0.045},{"avg_risk":0.032,"country":"MY","country_name":"Malaysia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":662,"max_risk":0.045},{"avg_risk":0.028,"country":"IL","country_name":"Israel","day0_risk":0.015,"evidence_weight":158,"max_risk":0.044},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"TH","country_name":"Thailand","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1819,"max_risk":0.044},{"avg_risk":0.018,"country":"TM","country_name":"Turkmenistan","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":4,"max_risk":0.044},{"avg_risk":0.021,"country":"BD","country_name":"Bangladesh","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1918,"max_risk":0.043},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"PH","country_name":"Philippines","day0_risk":0.025,"evidence_weight":235,"max_risk":0.043},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"ID","country_name":"Indonesia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":2241,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"IQ","country_name":"Iraq","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1530,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1802,"max_risk":0.04},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"IR","country_name":"Iran","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":5248,"max_risk":0.038},{"avg_risk":0.017,"country":"CN","country_name":"China","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":2653,"max_risk":0.036},{"avg_risk":0.018,"country":"VN","country_name":"Vietnam","day0_risk":0.015,"evidence_weight":1575,"max_risk":0.036},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"KP","country_name":"North Korea","day0_risk":0.014,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.034},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"YE","country_name":"Yemen","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":712,"max_risk":0.031}],"region":"asia","region_name":"Asia","schema":"voidly-region-forecast/v1","unweighted_mean_probability_7d":0.096,"weighted_avg_probability_7d":0.1113,"weighted_mean_avg_risk":0.091,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}