{"generated_at":"2026-08-20T23:44:36.388370","honest_caveats":["Aggregates per-country predict_risk() probabilities; does NOT use a dedicated per-region model.","Weighted by 30-day evidence volume per country, not population — large evidence-collecting countries dominate the average.","A single high-risk country can pull the region average up even when most countries are quiet — see per_country for the dispersion.","MENA is a custom grouping (Northern Africa + Western Asia minus IL/CY/AM/GE/AZ); other regions follow UN M.49.","Forecast model (predict_risk) only fully calibrated for the 30 watched censorship-heavy countries; unwatched countries use raw probabilities."],"max_country":"EG","max_country_name":"Egypt","max_country_probability":0.437,"method":"evidence-volume-weighted","min_country":"TN","min_country_name":"Tunisia","min_country_probability":0.032,"model_version":"v1","n_countries":19,"n_elevated_25":2,"n_elevated_50":0,"n_failed":0,"per_country":[{"avg_risk":0.414,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","day0_risk":0.394,"evidence_weight":1879,"max_risk":0.437},{"avg_risk":0.294,"country":"TR","country_name":"Turkey","day0_risk":0.265,"evidence_weight":2763,"max_risk":0.322},{"avg_risk":0.03,"country":"MA","country_name":"Morocco","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1460,"max_risk":0.064},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"AE","country_name":"United Arab Emirates","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1049,"max_risk":0.054},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"DZ","country_name":"Algeria","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1480,"max_risk":0.054},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"LY","country_name":"Libya","day0_risk":0.015,"evidence_weight":223,"max_risk":0.054},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"QA","country_name":"Qatar","day0_risk":0.019,"evidence_weight":222,"max_risk":0.048},{"avg_risk":0.021,"country":"KW","country_name":"Kuwait","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":169,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.027,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":903,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"JO","country_name":"Jordan","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1335,"max_risk":0.046},{"avg_risk":0.019,"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":171,"max_risk":0.046},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"OM","country_name":"Oman","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":180,"max_risk":0.045},{"avg_risk":0.018,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1402,"max_risk":0.041},{"avg_risk":0.015,"country":"SD","country_name":"Sudan","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":22,"max_risk":0.04},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"YE","country_name":"Yemen","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":283,"max_risk":0.04},{"avg_risk":0.022,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","day0_risk":0.015,"evidence_weight":125,"max_risk":0.038},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"IQ","country_name":"Iraq","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1716,"max_risk":0.037},{"avg_risk":0.016,"country":"PS","country_name":"Palestine","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":6,"max_risk":0.033},{"avg_risk":0.014,"country":"TN","country_name":"Tunisia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":94,"max_risk":0.032}],"region":"mena","region_name":"MENA","schema":"voidly-region-forecast/v1","unweighted_mean_probability_7d":0.0803,"weighted_avg_probability_7d":0.1442,"weighted_mean_avg_risk":0.1193,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}