{"generated_at":"2026-07-06T22:27:03.293043","honest_caveats":["Aggregates per-country predict_risk() probabilities; does NOT use a dedicated per-region model.","Weighted by 30-day evidence volume per country, not population — large evidence-collecting countries dominate the average.","A single high-risk country can pull the region average up even when most countries are quiet — see per_country for the dispersion.","MENA is a custom grouping (Northern Africa + Western Asia minus IL/CY/AM/GE/AZ); other regions follow UN M.49.","Forecast model (predict_risk) only fully calibrated for the 30 watched censorship-heavy countries; unwatched countries use raw probabilities."],"max_country":"EG","max_country_name":"Egypt","max_country_probability":0.434,"method":"evidence-volume-weighted","min_country":"YE","min_country_name":"Yemen","min_country_probability":0.031,"model_version":"v1","n_countries":19,"n_elevated_25":2,"n_elevated_50":0,"n_failed":0,"per_country":[{"avg_risk":0.416,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","day0_risk":0.384,"evidence_weight":1712,"max_risk":0.434},{"avg_risk":0.274,"country":"SD","country_name":"Sudan","day0_risk":0.273,"evidence_weight":44,"max_risk":0.299},{"avg_risk":0.1,"country":"QA","country_name":"Qatar","day0_risk":0.088,"evidence_weight":493,"max_risk":0.121},{"avg_risk":0.083,"country":"JO","country_name":"Jordan","day0_risk":0.066,"evidence_weight":1230,"max_risk":0.113},{"avg_risk":0.075,"country":"KW","country_name":"Kuwait","day0_risk":0.066,"evidence_weight":164,"max_risk":0.098},{"avg_risk":0.056,"country":"TN","country_name":"Tunisia","day0_risk":0.035,"evidence_weight":344,"max_risk":0.082},{"avg_risk":0.048,"country":"PS","country_name":"Palestine","day0_risk":0.045,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.08},{"avg_risk":0.049,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","day0_risk":0.031,"evidence_weight":218,"max_risk":0.075},{"avg_risk":0.034,"country":"AE","country_name":"United Arab Emirates","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1839,"max_risk":0.059},{"avg_risk":0.032,"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","day0_risk":0.018,"evidence_weight":151,"max_risk":0.052},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"LY","country_name":"Libya","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1044,"max_risk":0.05},{"avg_risk":0.03,"country":"DZ","country_name":"Algeria","day0_risk":0.017,"evidence_weight":1034,"max_risk":0.049},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":862,"max_risk":0.049},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"TR","country_name":"Turkey","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":2843,"max_risk":0.048},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"OM","country_name":"Oman","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":648,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.023,"country":"IQ","country_name":"Iraq","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1530,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.022,"country":"MA","country_name":"Morocco","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1404,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.024,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1802,"max_risk":0.04},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"YE","country_name":"Yemen","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":712,"max_risk":0.031}],"region":"mena","region_name":"MENA","schema":"voidly-region-forecast/v1","unweighted_mean_probability_7d":0.0953,"weighted_avg_probability_7d":0.0919,"weighted_mean_avg_risk":0.0694,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}