{"generated_at":"2026-05-22T20:30:54.006235","honest_caveats":["Aggregates per-country predict_risk() probabilities; does NOT use a dedicated per-region model.","Weighted by 30-day evidence volume per country, not population — large evidence-collecting countries dominate the average.","A single high-risk country can pull the region average up even when most countries are quiet — see per_country for the dispersion.","MENA is a custom grouping (Northern Africa + Western Asia minus IL/CY/AM/GE/AZ); other regions follow UN M.49.","Forecast model (predict_risk) only fully calibrated for the 30 watched censorship-heavy countries; unwatched countries use raw probabilities."],"max_country":"SA","max_country_name":"Saudi Arabia","max_country_probability":0.791,"method":"evidence-volume-weighted","min_country":"JO","min_country_name":"Jordan","min_country_probability":0.037,"model_version":"v1","n_countries":19,"n_elevated_25":5,"n_elevated_50":4,"n_failed":0,"per_country":[{"avg_risk":0.769,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","day0_risk":0.74,"evidence_weight":517,"max_risk":0.791},{"avg_risk":0.768,"country":"SD","country_name":"Sudan","day0_risk":0.745,"evidence_weight":5,"max_risk":0.79},{"avg_risk":0.653,"country":"TR","country_name":"Turkey","day0_risk":0.603,"evidence_weight":1036,"max_risk":0.711},{"avg_risk":0.597,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","day0_risk":0.579,"evidence_weight":237,"max_risk":0.63},{"avg_risk":0.46,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","day0_risk":0.426,"evidence_weight":731,"max_risk":0.476},{"avg_risk":0.061,"country":"KW","country_name":"Kuwait","day0_risk":0.052,"evidence_weight":57,"max_risk":0.088},{"avg_risk":0.059,"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","day0_risk":0.037,"evidence_weight":137,"max_risk":0.085},{"avg_risk":0.051,"country":"PS","country_name":"Palestine","day0_risk":0.037,"evidence_weight":5,"max_risk":0.085},{"avg_risk":0.053,"country":"TN","country_name":"Tunisia","day0_risk":0.047,"evidence_weight":106,"max_risk":0.072},{"avg_risk":0.034,"country":"LY","country_name":"Libya","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":269,"max_risk":0.062},{"avg_risk":0.026,"country":"QA","country_name":"Qatar","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":274,"max_risk":0.05},{"avg_risk":0.032,"country":"LB","country_name":"Lebanon","day0_risk":0.024,"evidence_weight":185,"max_risk":0.048},{"avg_risk":0.025,"country":"MA","country_name":"Morocco","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":569,"max_risk":0.047},{"avg_risk":0.019,"country":"DZ","country_name":"Algeria","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":559,"max_risk":0.045},{"avg_risk":0.027,"country":"AE","country_name":"United Arab Emirates","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":747,"max_risk":0.044},{"avg_risk":0.031,"country":"OM","country_name":"Oman","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":198,"max_risk":0.043},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"YE","country_name":"Yemen","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":213,"max_risk":0.042},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"IQ","country_name":"Iraq","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":837,"max_risk":0.039},{"avg_risk":0.022,"country":"JO","country_name":"Jordan","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":265,"max_risk":0.037}],"region":"mena","region_name":"MENA","schema":"voidly-region-forecast/v1","unweighted_mean_probability_7d":0.2203,"weighted_avg_probability_7d":0.2671,"weighted_mean_avg_risk":0.2409,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}