{"generated_at":"2026-05-22T20:31:45.576916","honest_caveats":["Aggregates per-country predict_risk() probabilities; does NOT use a dedicated per-region model.","Weighted by 30-day evidence volume per country, not population — large evidence-collecting countries dominate the average.","A single high-risk country can pull the region average up even when most countries are quiet — see per_country for the dispersion.","MENA is a custom grouping (Northern Africa + Western Asia minus IL/CY/AM/GE/AZ); other regions follow UN M.49.","Forecast model (predict_risk) only fully calibrated for the 30 watched censorship-heavy countries; unwatched countries use raw probabilities."],"max_country":"WS","max_country_name":"Samoa","max_country_probability":0.078,"method":"evidence-volume-weighted","min_country":"AU","min_country_name":"Australia","min_country_probability":0.04,"model_version":"v1","n_countries":7,"n_elevated_25":0,"n_elevated_50":0,"n_failed":0,"per_country":[{"avg_risk":0.054,"country":"WS","country_name":"Samoa","day0_risk":0.018,"evidence_weight":6,"max_risk":0.078},{"avg_risk":0.054,"country":"PG","country_name":"Papua New Guinea","day0_risk":0.028,"evidence_weight":2,"max_risk":0.076},{"avg_risk":0.044,"country":"FJ","country_name":"Fiji","day0_risk":0.029,"evidence_weight":2,"max_risk":0.072},{"avg_risk":0.05,"country":"NZ","country_name":"New Zealand","day0_risk":0.018,"evidence_weight":16,"max_risk":0.072},{"avg_risk":0.048,"country":"GU","country_name":"Guam","day0_risk":0.016,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.064},{"avg_risk":0.02,"country":"TO","country_name":"Tonga","day0_risk":0.01,"evidence_weight":1,"max_risk":0.041},{"avg_risk":0.021,"country":"AU","country_name":"Australia","day0_risk":0.013,"evidence_weight":185,"max_risk":0.04}],"region":"oceania","region_name":"Oceania","schema":"voidly-region-forecast/v1","unweighted_mean_probability_7d":0.0633,"weighted_avg_probability_7d":0.0442,"weighted_mean_avg_risk":0.0248,"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}