{"available":true,"country_code":"UZ","honest_caveats":["Block rate is a noisy proxy for shutdown probability; what we model is the long-run blocking rate of evidence rows, not the day-level shutdown likelihood.","Algorithm selected by LOOCV bake-off across Ridge + GBM variants — winner: gbm_shallow. Other candidates and their LOOCV R² are in 'candidates_loocv'.","Countries with <20 evidence rows in the 365-day LABEL window were excluded from training, EXCEPT when they appear in TAIL_COUNTRIES (so we can score the v3.3 regressors).","Historical features use a window 365-730 days ago (disjoint from the label window) to prevent target leakage. Initial v1 had a leakage path through mean_block_rate_365d — fixed before promote.","90% CI is from residual_std (normal approx); on countries with structural traits unseen in training the CI may understate uncertainty.","Gulf states (BH, KW, QA) have empirical block rates of 68-88% — well above anything else in training distribution. The model under-predicts them by 30-45pp, but still beats v3.3's flat prior on the median tail country (+16pp).","This is a country-level meta-model. It does NOT replace v3.3 for countries where v3.3 already performs well; it is a SECOND OPINION for the long tail."],"in_training_set":true,"metrics":{"loocv_mae":0.1021555956167691,"loocv_r2":0.4865100877646761,"residual_std":0.15448343351535807},"model":"zero-shot-transfer-v1","n_evidence_label_window":711,"n_incidents_hist":0,"pred_block_rate":0.4477281948487498,"pred_interval_90":{"hi":0.7018534429815138,"lo":0.19360294671598582},"promoted":true,"served_at":"2026-05-22T20:30:41.922304Z","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}