{"country":"AE","country_name":"AE","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.02,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.7709,"max_risk_day":7,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.043},"forecast_trajectory_note":"forecast_summary.max_risk + trust.probability are the validated honest 7-day event probability. forecast_window[] is the legacy v1 illustrative trajectory (NOT independently validated); max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior v1 headline.","forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-08-13","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.012},{"date":"2026-08-14","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.018},{"date":"2026-08-15","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-16","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-17","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.031},{"date":"2026-08-18","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-19","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.024},{"date":"2026-08-20","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.043}],"honest_forecast":{"as_of":"2026-08-12","flag":true,"is_headline_source":true,"probability":0.7709,"recommended_threshold":0.65,"risk_band":"elevated","semantics":"probability of a censorship/connectivity EVENT in the next 7 days (country-relative z-score label)","validation":"Independent OONI-grounded + leakage-free. Rolling-origin AUC ~0.815, PR-AUC ~0.29; beats persistence/climatology in all 9 temporal folds; LOCO beats persistence 49/51 countries. See /v1/forecast/honest/info."},"issued_at":"2026-08-13T09:02:10.285561","model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":441.79,"conformal_coverage":0.9066666666666666,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-12T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://data.censoredplanet.org","ref":"censoredplanet:satellite:AE:youtube.com:2026-08-12","signal_type":"dns-blocking","source":"censoredplanet"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-12T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://data.censoredplanet.org","ref":"censoredplanet:satellite:AE:whatsapp.com:2026-08-12","signal_type":"dns-blocking","source":"censoredplanet"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-12T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://data.censoredplanet.org","ref":"censoredplanet:satellite:AE:twitter.com:2026-08-12","signal_type":"dns-blocking","source":"censoredplanet"}],"interval_90":[0.4209,1],"model_version":"v1@2026-08-09T02:10:28.441430","probability":0.7709,"similar_incident":{"country":"AE","readable_id":"AE-2026-1429","severity":"critical","similarity":0.7269,"source":"semantic","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/AE-2026-1429"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0264,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_lag1","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0193,"direction":"down","name":"verified_signals_7d","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0164,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll7_std","source":"model"}]},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}