{"country":"BF","country_name":"BF","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.057,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.6784,"max_risk_day":5,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.08},"forecast_trajectory_note":"forecast_summary.max_risk + trust.probability are the validated honest 7-day event probability. forecast_window[] is the legacy v1 illustrative trajectory (NOT independently validated); max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior v1 headline.","forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-07-14","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.038},{"date":"2026-07-15","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.049},{"date":"2026-07-16","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.058},{"date":"2026-07-17","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.035},{"date":"2026-07-18","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.038},{"date":"2026-07-19","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.08},{"date":"2026-07-20","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.077},{"date":"2026-07-21","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.078}],"honest_forecast":{"as_of":"2026-07-12","flag":true,"is_headline_source":true,"probability":0.6784,"recommended_threshold":0.65,"risk_band":"elevated","semantics":"probability of a censorship/connectivity EVENT in the next 7 days (country-relative z-score label)","validation":"Independent OONI-grounded + leakage-free. Rolling-origin AUC ~0.815, PR-AUC ~0.29; beats persistence/climatology in all 9 temporal folds; LOCO beats persistence 49/51 countries. See /v1/forecast/honest/info."},"issued_at":"2026-07-14T04:13:23.088526","model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":11.14,"conformal_coverage":0.9128461189287336,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-07-13T18:10:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/BF","ref":"ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:322:1783966200","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"},{"observed_at":"2026-07-13T16:50:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/BF","ref":"ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:322:1783961400","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"},{"observed_at":"2026-07-13T15:20:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/BF","ref":"ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:322:1783956000","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"}],"interval_90":[0.3284,1],"model_version":"v1@2026-06-07T02:14:25.651493","probability":0.6784,"similar_incident":{"country":"BF","first_seen":"2026-07-13T10:50:00Z","incident_type":"disruption","readable_id":"BF-2026-0019","severity":"critical","similarity":null,"source":"sql_fallback","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/BF-2026-0019"},"top_features":[{"contribution":0.0557,"direction":"up","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0193,"direction":"up","name":"recent_shutdown","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0133,"direction":"up","name":"risk_tier","source":"model"}]},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}