{"country":"BH","country_name":"Bahrain","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.024,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.0096,"max_risk_day":7,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.041},"forecast_trajectory_note":"forecast_summary.max_risk + trust.probability are the validated honest 7-day event probability. forecast_window[] is the legacy v1 illustrative trajectory (NOT independently validated); max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior v1 headline.","forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-08-21","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.017},{"date":"2026-08-22","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-23","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.028},{"date":"2026-08-24","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-25","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-26","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.035},{"date":"2026-08-27","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.037},{"date":"2026-08-28","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.041}],"honest_forecast":{"as_of":"2026-08-15","flag":false,"is_headline_source":true,"probability":0.0096,"recommended_threshold":0.625,"risk_band":"low","semantics":"probability of a censorship/connectivity EVENT in the next 7 days (country-relative z-score label)","validation":"Independent OONI-grounded + leakage-free. Rolling-origin AUC ~0.815, PR-AUC ~0.29; beats persistence/climatology in all 9 temporal folds; LOCO beats persistence 49/51 countries. See /v1/forecast/honest/info."},"issued_at":"2026-08-21T23:46:53.047554","model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":5.14,"conformal_coverage":0.9145090376160234,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://data.censoredplanet.org","ref":"censoredplanet:satellite:BH:psiphon.ca:2026-08-19","signal_type":"dns-blocking","source":"censoredplanet"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://data.censoredplanet.org","ref":"censoredplanet:satellite:BH:protonvpn.com:2026-08-19","signal_type":"dns-blocking","source":"censoredplanet"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://data.censoredplanet.org","ref":"censoredplanet:satellite:BH:getlantern.org:2026-08-19","signal_type":"dns-blocking","source":"censoredplanet"}],"interval_90":[0,0.3596],"model_version":"v1@2026-08-16T02:10:31.327087","probability":0.0096,"similar_incident":{"country":"BH","first_seen":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","incident_type":"censorship","readable_id":"BH-2026-0331","severity":"critical","similarity":null,"source":"sql_fallback","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/BH-2026-0331"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0422,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0298,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0263,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll7_mean","source":"model"}]},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}