{"country":"CV","country_name":"Cabo Verde","drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 27d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 22d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 23d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 28d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 21d"],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.039,"key_drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 27d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 22d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 23d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 28d","Cabo Verdean Presidency in 21d"],"max_risk":0.07,"max_risk_day":7},"forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-10-03","day":0,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 28d"],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-10-04","day":1,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 27d"],"risk":0.036},{"date":"2026-10-05","day":2,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 26d"],"risk":0.045},{"date":"2026-10-06","day":3,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 25d"],"risk":0.025},{"date":"2026-10-07","day":4,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 24d"],"risk":0.037},{"date":"2026-10-08","day":5,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 23d"],"risk":0.042},{"date":"2026-10-09","day":6,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 22d"],"risk":0.049},{"date":"2026-10-10","day":7,"drivers":["Cabo Verdean Presidency in 21d"],"risk":0.07}],"issued_at":"2026-10-03T19:16:03.567893","model_version":"v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":328.55,"conformal_coverage":0.9027522935779817,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-10-02T01:45:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CV","ref":"ioda:alert:bgp:region:771:1790905500","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"},{"observed_at":"2026-09-25T01:50:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CV","ref":"ioda:alert:bgp:region:777:1790301000","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"},{"observed_at":"2026-09-25T01:50:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CV","ref":"ioda:alert:bgp:region:771:1790301000","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"}],"interval_90":[0.0,0.42],"model_version":"v1@2026-09-27T02:11:03.341768","probability":0.07,"similar_incident":{"country":"VE","readable_id":"VE-2026-1621","severity":"critical","similarity":0.564,"source":"semantic","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/VE-2026-1621"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0563,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0374,"direction":"down","name":"gdelt_unrest_30d","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0283,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll30_mean","source":"model"}]}}