{"country":"DK","country_name":"Denmark","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.018,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.2408,"max_risk_day":6,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.049},"forecast_trajectory_note":"forecast_summary.max_risk + trust.probability are the validated honest 7-day event probability. forecast_window[] is the legacy v1 illustrative trajectory (NOT independently validated); max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior v1 headline.","forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-09-08","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-09","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-10","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-11","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.029},{"date":"2026-09-12","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-13","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-14","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.049},{"date":"2026-09-15","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.02}],"honest_forecast":{"as_of":"2026-09-07","flag":false,"is_headline_source":true,"probability":0.2408,"recommended_threshold":0.625,"risk_band":"low","semantics":"probability of a censorship/connectivity EVENT in the next 7 days (country-relative z-score label)","validation":"Independent OONI-grounded + leakage-free. Rolling-origin AUC ~0.815, PR-AUC ~0.29; beats persistence/climatology in all 9 temporal folds; LOCO beats persistence 49/51 countries. See /v1/forecast/honest/info."},"issued_at":"2026-09-08T21:20:20.406820","model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":9.46,"conformal_coverage":0.9039735099337748,"evidence_permalinks":[],"interval_90":[0.0,0.5908],"model_version":"v1@2026-09-06T02:10:47.912144","probability":0.2408,"similar_incident":{"country":"DK","first_seen":"2026-06-20T11:40:00Z","incident_type":"disruption","readable_id":"DK-2026-0002","severity":"critical","similarity":null,"source":"sql_fallback","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/DK-2026-0002"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0245,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0174,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll7_mean","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0162,"direction":"up","name":"block_rate_roll7_std","source":"model"}]}}