{"country":"GB","country_name":"GB","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.205,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.0006,"max_risk_day":4,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.219},"forecast_trajectory_note":"forecast_summary.max_risk + trust.probability are the validated honest 7-day event probability. forecast_window[] is the legacy v1 illustrative trajectory (NOT independently validated); max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior v1 headline.","forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-10-07","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.196},{"date":"2026-10-08","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.207},{"date":"2026-10-09","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.193},{"date":"2026-10-10","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.193},{"date":"2026-10-11","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.219},{"date":"2026-10-12","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.194},{"date":"2026-10-13","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.219},{"date":"2026-10-14","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.218}],"honest_forecast":{"as_of":"2026-10-05","flag":false,"is_headline_source":true,"probability":0.0006,"recommended_threshold":0.625,"risk_band":"low","semantics":"probability of a censorship/connectivity EVENT in the next 7 days (country-relative z-score label)","validation":"Independent OONI-grounded + leakage-free. Rolling-origin AUC ~0.815, PR-AUC ~0.29; beats persistence/climatology in all 9 temporal folds; LOCO beats persistence 49/51 countries. See /v1/forecast/honest/info."},"issued_at":"2026-10-07T00:40:24.057047","model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":43.01,"conformal_coverage":0.9150772025431426,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-10-07T00:24:38.029923+00:00","permalink":"https://api.voidly.ai/data/evidence/527300747","ref":"ca87bc7d13c40044","signal_type":"block","source":"Voidly"},{"observed_at":"2026-10-07T00:24:36.135109+00:00","permalink":"https://api.voidly.ai/data/evidence/527300746","ref":"74c56cd0276dc547","signal_type":"block","source":"Voidly"},{"observed_at":"2026-10-07T00:16:45.257792+00:00","permalink":"https://api.voidly.ai/data/evidence/527300714","ref":"c34f4a7cc01604b0","signal_type":"block","source":"Voidly"}],"interval_90":[0.0,0.3506],"model_version":"v1@2026-10-04T02:19:46.672537","probability":0.0006,"similar_incident":{"country":"GB","readable_id":"GB-2025-0001","severity":"critical","similarity":0.761,"source":"semantic","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/GB-2025-0001"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.1469,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":0.0965,"direction":"up","name":"block_rate_lag2","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0607,"direction":"down","name":"gdelt_unrest_30d","source":"model"}]}}