{"country":"HK","country_name":"HK","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.024,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.04,"max_risk_day":7},"forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-09-02","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-03","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-04","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-09-05","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.034},{"date":"2026-09-06","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.018},{"date":"2026-09-07","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.034},{"date":"2026-09-08","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.038},{"date":"2026-09-09","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.04}],"issued_at":"2026-09-02T11:00:45.294873","model_version":"v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":54.04,"conformal_coverage":0.9167862266857962,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-31T04:05:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/HK","ref":"ioda:alert:bgp:region:1606:1788149100","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-30T23:00:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/HK","ref":"ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:1609:1788130800","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-30T21:30:00Z","permalink":"https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/HK","ref":"ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:1609:1788125400","signal_type":"outage","source":"ioda"}],"interval_90":[0.0,0.39],"model_version":"v1@2026-08-30T02:10:39.178833","probability":0.04,"similar_incident":{"country":"HK","readable_id":"HK-2026-0048","severity":"critical","similarity":0.7609,"source":"semantic","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/HK-2026-0048"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0371,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0327,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_lag1","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0179,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"}]}}