{"country":"LU","country_name":"LU","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.024,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.044,"max_risk_day":7},"forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-11-06","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-11-07","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-11-08","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-11-09","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-11-10","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.039},{"date":"2026-11-11","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.042},{"date":"2026-11-12","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.026},{"date":"2026-11-13","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.044}],"issued_at":"2026-11-06T02:18:38.938661","model_version":"v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":50.56,"conformal_coverage":null,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-11-05T06:00:00Z","permalink":"https://explorer.ooni.org/search?probe_cc=LU&test_name=web_connectivity&since=2026-11-05&until=2026-11-06","ref":"ooni:live:LU:web_connectivity:2026-11-05:06","signal_type":"interference","source":"ooni"},{"observed_at":"2026-11-05T00:00:00Z","permalink":"https://explorer.ooni.org/search?probe_cc=LU&test_name=web_connectivity&since=2026-11-05&until=2026-11-06","ref":"ooni:live:LU:web_connectivity:2026-11-05:00","signal_type":"interference","source":"ooni"},{"observed_at":"2026-11-04T18:00:00Z","permalink":"https://explorer.ooni.org/search?probe_cc=LU&test_name=web_connectivity&since=2026-11-04&until=2026-11-05","ref":"ooni:live:LU:web_connectivity:2026-11-04:18","signal_type":"interference","source":"ooni"}],"interval_90":null,"interval_90_status":"unverified_target_or_model_lineage","model_version":"v1@2026-11-01T02:18:10.429395","probability":0.044,"similar_incident":{"country":"LU","first_seen":"2026-10-18T00:00:00Z","incident_type":"disruption","readable_id":"LU-2026-0009","severity":"critical","similarity":null,"source":"sql_fallback","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/LU-2026-0009"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0739,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0394,"direction":"down","name":"gdelt_unrest_30d","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0296,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_roll30_mean","source":"model"}]}}
