{"country":"US","country_name":"United States","drivers":[],"forecast_summary":{"avg_risk":0.022,"key_drivers":[],"max_risk":0.0004,"max_risk_day":5,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.036},"forecast_trajectory_note":"forecast_summary.max_risk + trust.probability are the validated honest 7-day event probability. forecast_window[] is the legacy v1 illustrative trajectory (NOT independently validated); max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior v1 headline.","forecast_window":[{"date":"2026-08-22","day":0,"drivers":[],"risk":0.016},{"date":"2026-08-23","day":1,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-24","day":2,"drivers":[],"risk":0.01},{"date":"2026-08-25","day":3,"drivers":[],"risk":0.029},{"date":"2026-08-26","day":4,"drivers":[],"risk":0.027},{"date":"2026-08-27","day":5,"drivers":[],"risk":0.036},{"date":"2026-08-28","day":6,"drivers":[],"risk":0.027},{"date":"2026-08-29","day":7,"drivers":[],"risk":0.019}],"honest_forecast":{"as_of":"2026-08-20","flag":false,"is_headline_source":true,"probability":0.0004,"recommended_threshold":0.625,"risk_band":"low","semantics":"probability of a censorship/connectivity EVENT in the next 7 days (country-relative z-score label)","validation":"Independent OONI-grounded + leakage-free. Rolling-origin AUC ~0.815, PR-AUC ~0.29; beats persistence/climatology in all 9 temporal folds; LOCO beats persistence 49/51 countries. See /v1/forecast/honest/info."},"issued_at":"2026-08-22T03:51:17.025460","model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","schema":"voidly-sentinel-current-risk/v1","trust":{"computed_in_ms":3.47,"conformal_coverage":0.9145090376160234,"evidence_permalinks":[{"observed_at":"2026-08-22T03:46:30.314776+00:00","permalink":"https://api.voidly.ai/data/evidence/344366306","ref":"44bdb246074c5e5e","signal_type":"block","source":"Voidly-Community"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-22T03:43:25.020885+00:00","permalink":"https://api.voidly.ai/data/evidence/344366305","ref":"23e1472ddf912012","signal_type":"block","source":"Voidly"},{"observed_at":"2026-08-22T03:42:47.531716+00:00","permalink":"https://api.voidly.ai/data/evidence/344366296","ref":"27c8c6b89dae50ce","signal_type":"block","source":"Voidly"}],"interval_90":[0,0.3504],"model_version":"v1@2026-08-16T02:10:31.327087","probability":0.0004,"similar_incident":{"country":"US","first_seen":"2026-08-19T14:17:00Z","incident_type":"disruption","readable_id":"US-2026-0081","severity":"critical","similarity":null,"source":"sql_fallback","url":"https://voidly.ai/censorship-index/incidents/US-2026-0081"},"top_features":[{"contribution":-0.0372,"direction":"down","name":"block_rate_lag1","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0335,"direction":"down","name":"month","source":"model"},{"contribution":-0.0316,"direction":"down","name":"week_of_year","source":"model"}]},"_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}