{"countries":[{"above_threshold":true,"country":"SY","country_name":"Syria","max_risk":0.7855,"max_risk_day":5,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.7754,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.7855,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"EG","country_name":"Egypt","max_risk":0.777,"max_risk_day":6,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.7316,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.777,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"CU","country_name":"Cuba","max_risk":0.7648,"max_risk_day":5,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.744,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.7648,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"MM","country_name":"Myanmar","max_risk":0.7349,"max_risk_day":4,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.7826,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.7349,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"BY","country_name":"Belarus","max_risk":0.6917,"max_risk_day":7,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.645,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.6917,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"SA","country_name":"Saudi Arabia","max_risk":0.6817,"max_risk_day":5,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.6608,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.6817,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"PK","country_name":"Pakistan","max_risk":0.6743,"max_risk_day":0,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.6571,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.6743,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":true,"country":"KZ","country_name":"Kazakhstan","max_risk":0.6688,"max_risk_day":7,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.7389,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.6688,"risk_band":"elevated","threshold":0.625},{"above_threshold":false,"country":"NG","country_name":"Nigeria","max_risk":0.5271,"max_risk_day":4,"max_risk_v1_leaky":0.5987,"model_version":"honest_forecast_v1","probability":0.5271,"risk_band":"watch","threshold":0.625}],"eval_date":"2026-09-08","honest_caveat":"Ranked by the independently-validated, leakage-free honest forecast (rolling-origin AUC ~0.815) for covered countries \u2014 agrees with each country's /v1/forecast/<cc>/7day headline. max_risk_v1_leaky retains the prior sentinel value. above_threshold uses the honest operating threshold (~0.675). See /v1/forecast/honest/info.","n":9,"schema":"voidly-sentinel-heatmap/v1"}
