{"as_of":"2026-05-21T20:00:35.240029Z","country_code":"RU","covered":true,"current":{"as_of":"2026-04-26","country_code":"RU","days_stale":25,"elevated":false,"historical_auc":0.615,"historical_r":0.096,"protest_zscore":-3.821},"historical":{"auc":0.615,"country_code":"RU","days_stale":25,"latest_date":"2026-04-26","latest_zscore":-3.821,"n_days":67,"n_shutdowns_in_window":6,"pearson_p":0.439,"pearson_r":0.096,"significant":false},"honest_caveats":["GDELT counts news mentions, not actual protest events — a spike could be coverage of another country's protest.","Per-country z-score baseline is only 30 days; sparse-news countries get inflated z-scores from low baseline variance.","Shutdown labels are confirmed-censorship incidents only; IODA-only disruptions are excluded (could be over-counted as shutdowns triggered by non-protest causes)."],"interpretation":"Country RU has 6 confirmed shutdowns in the 2026-01-20..present window. Pearson r between protest z-score and 'shutdown in next 48h' is +0.096 (p=0.439, AUC=0.615). NOT statistically significant — treat as supporting signal only.","schema":"voidly-pre-protest-signal/v1","_voidly_pay":{"claim_did":"https://voidly.ai/pay/claim","for_builders":"https://voidly.ai/pay/for-builders","marketplace":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/marketplace","live_demo":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/emperor-mew/voidly-pay","universal_proxy":{"url":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy","example":"https://api.voidly.ai/v1/pay/proxy?u=<https-url>&to=did:voidly:<your-did>&price=0.01","page":"https://voidly.ai/pay/proxy","note":"Paywall any public HTTPS URL with one query param. No SDK install required."},"install":{"typescript":"npm install @voidly/pay","python":"pip install voidly-pay","langchain":"pip install voidly-pay-langchain","vercel_ai":"npm install @voidly/pay-vercel-ai","mcp":"npx @voidly/pay-mcp","cli":"npm install -g @voidly/pay-cli"},"note":"Voidly Pay is the open agent-to-agent payment rail. Claim a DID + 10 starter credits in 60s, or paywall any URL via the universal proxy with one query param."}}